Within the new weekly replace for pv journalOPIS, a Dow Jones firm, offers a fast overview of the primary worth tendencies within the world PV business.
China Mono Grade, the OPIS evaluation for the nation’s polysilicon costs, remained regular at CNY62 ($8.56)/kg on July 4. What appears to be like like a second of calm – catch nearly six months to the following -subsequent, sometimes-dramatic declines – point out a market that’s busy assessing what’s going to occur subsequent.
Business gamers differed on the place they noticed costs heading after a key polysilicon convention in China final week, with volatility as the highest development. The low values across the CNY60/kg mark, which is mostly thought-about to be the fee worth of polysilicon in China, proceed to be largely the figures revealed through the OPIS market survey earlier this week, though the dialogue a part of a worth rebound emerged.
A supply who noticed polysilicon rising to CNY67/kg learn decrease costs previously two weeks as producers cleared inventories earlier than the top of the second quarter. A polysilicon maker’s stock, estimated at 10,000 MT final week, was stated to have halved over the weekend. Energy cuts have affected working charges at monocrystalline crops, a supply stated, noting cuts in Baotou, Internal Mongolia, and claiming the identical in Leshan, Sichuan.
The discussions concerning the worth enhance are additional prolonged under. Wafer costs discovered their backside, agreed with most market members, and the wafer phase started to sign potential future notches. A number of sources have confirmed to OPIS that restricted new wafer capability will come on-line within the second half of 2023, doubtlessly protecting greater than 140 GW of annual nameplate capability off the market, in line with information from OFFICE.
Chatter apart, the specter of oversupply continues to hang-out China’s polysilicon market. “Polysilicon is clearly overstocked,” one contact reiterated, whereas one other stated total “stockpiles are very excessive.” The brand new capability of a serious producer in June of just about 120,000 MT was delayed, however solely till the third quarter.
OPIS, a Dow Jones firm, offers power costs, information, information, and evaluation on gasoline, diesel, jet gasoline, LPG/NGL, coal, metals, and chemical substances, in addition to renewable fuels and environmental commodities. . It acquired pricing information property from the Singapore Photo voltaic Alternate in 2022 and now publishes the OPIS APAC Photo voltaic Weekly Report.
The views and opinions expressed on this article are these of the creator, and don’t essentially mirror these held by pv journal.
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