Türkiye’s photo voltaic vitality capability is predicted to succeed in 52.9 gigawatts with a rise of roughly 500% in 2035, and it will likely be the supply with the very best share of the full electrical energy capability.
The projection is included within the Nationwide Power Plan, which is ready primarily based on the Power and Pure Assets Ministry’s goal of reaching web zero emissions in 2053, and contains measures to be taken till 2035.
In line with the plan, Turkey’s main vitality consumption, which was 147.2 million tons of oil equal in 2020, is estimated to succeed in 205.3 million tons of oil equal in 2035.
The nation’s electrical energy consumption, which elevated by 4.4% per yr within the 2000-2020 interval, is predicted to extend by 3.5% per yr till 2035, reaching 510.5 terawatt hours. It’s estimated that the share {of electrical} vitality within the last vitality consumption, which was 21.8% in 2020, will attain 24.9% in 2035.
The electrical energy put in in Turkey, which was 95.9 gigawatts on the finish of 2020, is predicted to succeed in 189.7 gigawatts in 2035, and the share of renewable vitality sources within the complete put in energy is predicted to extend from 52% in 2020 to 64.7% in 2035.
Renewable vitality sources account for 74.3% of the brand new electrical energy capability of 96.9 gigawatts, which have to be commissioned by this time.
The biggest improve within the capability of renewable vitality sources is aimed toward photo voltaic vitality.
If photo voltaic vitality reaches a capability of 52.9 gigawatts in 2035, as anticipated, it will likely be the supply with the very best share of complete electrical energy put in in Türkiye.
In wind vitality, the put in energy, which was 8.8 gigawatts in 2020, is predicted to succeed in 29.6 gigawatts in 2035. The focused improve in wind vitality capability stands at 160% if the 11.36 gigawatt capability reached in November 2022 is taken into account. .
Nuclear vitality
After the commissioning of the primary nuclear reactor this yr on the Akkuyu Nuclear Energy Plant (NPP), Turkey’s first NPP, it’s deliberate to generate 2.4 gigawatts of nuclear put in energy in 2025, and this capability will attain 7.2 gigawatts in 2035. Akkuyu NPP will consist of 4 reactors, every of which might be 1.2 gigawatts.
The put in capability is predicted to extend from 31 gigawatts in 2020 to 35.1 gigawatts in 2035 in hydroelectric energy crops, 35.5 gigawatts in electrical technology from pure gasoline and 24.3 gigawatts in coal energy crops.
If these capability will increase are realized, the share of thermal energy crops, which consists of manufacturing from coal and pure gasoline in Türkiye’s electrical energy manufacturing, might be diminished from 57.6% in 2020 to 34.2% in 2035.
Whereas the share of photo voltaic vitality reaches 16.5%, the share of wind vitality reaches 17.7% and nuclear vitality reaches 11.1%, the share of hydroelectricity falls to 17.3%. Different sources, together with geothermal and biomass, will meet the remaining manufacturing.
Inside the scope of the targets to succeed in web zero emissions, it’s predicted that the share of fossil fuels in Turkey’s main vitality consumption will lower from 83.3% in 2020 to twenty.8% in 2053. The share of coal on this complete is 3.6%, the share of pure gasoline is calculated as 11.7% and oil 5.6%.
Whereas the share of renewable vitality sources in main vitality consumption will improve to 50% in 2053, it’s estimated that the share of nuclear will attain 29.3%.
Photo voltaic capability
Ufuk Alparslan, who’s accountable for Türkiye, Ukraine and the Western Balkans on the London-based suppose tank Ember, instructed Anadolu Company (AA) that Türkiye’s photo voltaic potential is increased than its wind potential and this potential unfold extra homogeneously all through the nation.
“As well as, photo voltaic vitality makes use of electrical energy that will increase in the summertime. Additionally it is vital when it comes to vitality safety, as a result of it may well compensate for the deficit that will come up from hydroelectricity in dry years,” he stated. .
Nevertheless, Alparslan pressured that many new capability allocations ought to be offered for photo voltaic vitality in order that the capability of the solar energy plant could be commissioned yearly to succeed in the plan degree.
“In any other case, the targets can stay on paper. One other situation is that whereas the renewable vitality capability will increase strongly within the plan, we see that the coal capability won’t lower, quite the opposite, it would improve just a little,” commented he, which he noticed as contradictory as a result of the plan sees that the manufacturing of electrical energy from coal decreases yearly.
“I might anticipate no less than one announcement of the plan with out a new coal capability fee,” he stated.
Cem Özkök, head of the Power Traders Affiliation (GUYAD), however, commented that they’re blissful to create a nationwide vitality plan that focuses on renewable vitality.
“The conjuncture we’re in exhibits that the important thing to the safety of vitality provide lies in our personal sources. In addition to, the deepening financial disaster around the globe makes it essential to direct our monetary sources to different space of improvement throughout the nation as an alternative of paying the burden of vitality. debt overseas,” he stated.
Declaring the significance of constructing laws fast and according to expectations, Özkök stated that Türkiye has the desire, willpower, abilities and skilled human sources to realize these targets.
